Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000014
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000014 0.000018
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016 0.000020
2025-01-12 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028
2025-01-26 0.000003 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000041
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000048
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000029 0.000057
2025-02-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000032 0.000066
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000034 0.000074
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000018 0.000037 0.000084
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000019 0.000040 0.000099
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000020 0.000044 0.000117
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000020 0.000046 0.000129
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000021 0.000049 0.000147
2025-04-13 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000009 0.000021 0.000052 0.000166
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000057 0.000193
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000065 0.000240
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000024 0.000070 0.000279
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000026 0.000077 0.000331
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000026 0.000084 0.000386
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000027 0.000088 0.000433